RE: Follow the Money Trail ( The Gold Rush two )
By the year 2000, there will be from 200 million to 1/2 billion
users of the Internet, world wide. They will be in the upper 1/4
of incomes; the technological, and social elite. They will run
their office systems, ( many in home offices ) word processing,
data base, spread sheets; internal and external communications,
do business, consult, buy News, office supplies ( office depot ),
programs, books, and records ( Media Play ), travel services
(American Express), banking, insurance, accounting, investments (
Fidelity ), medical information, legal research, ( West
Publishing ), consumer products, ( Wal-mart ), special goods (
sports, clothes, all the 100's of catalogs ), and take their
classes about Internet applications at the Global Village
Schools. MOST of the uses have not been invented yet. The Virtual
OFFICE will let people work in cyberspace with out being there.
An organization like Global Village Schools will not be place
bound. Teachers, materials, students will all interact in
cyberspace.
Maybe 10% of all sales or 2-3 trillion dollars of business ( in
current dollars ) will be web based including most computer
systems and software, themselves. The access to this market is by
way of office suite software that does the standard functions on
the PC and Servers connected into high quality networks. ( ATT,
MCI, Sprint etc)
The average office machine and 30% of home systems will have a
news service, e-mail, library search, reference services, and
catalog sales systems. The common Office suites, which can now
handle columns, graphics, type faces, charts, and data, will work
with sound, ( real radio ) color, and all the jazz of web pages.
They will LINK - ( hyperlinks and file managers ) this is the
heart of the communications revolution.
Our community college just spent millions on new computers, LAN's
( Local Area Networks ) and Microsoft's Windows 95 and Office as
an installed base, and it is already obsolete. The colleges
teaches Word Perfect which has 80% of the current users, but 80%
of new systems use MS Office. Office suites ( Word processing,
data base, presentations, spread sheets ) WERE the heart of the
PC revolution. These programs handle a wide variety of text
formats BUT not hypertext transfer protocol, HTTP, hypertext,
HTM. ( H1, H2, H3 so far). Can anyone make MS office 7.0 work on
the Internet except MS itself ? The college should be teaching
for the future: Internet suites but doesn't understand much about
the Internet itself. It all is happening too fast for HIGHER
EDUCATION to keep up. Therefore the need for Global Village
Schools.
If MS office worked right there would be a SMOOTH interface to
the Internet. The reason for Windows 95, ( NT based ) was to make
MS office 7.0 work with Internet networks. IT DOESN'T. This e-
mail should appear as hypertext and could include graphics ( as
attachments ) and real links to web pages. If your are reading
this in the Netscape Gold 2.0 mailer:
http://metro.turnpike.net/~pflaump/newbie.htm is a live link. You
can click on it with your mouse and the web page will appear. The
advantages of working with HTM as the standard, for all office
application, are very clear. If MS can't make it work NETSCAPE
and Sun Microsystems "Hot Java" will replace MS office with
Netscape office. It maybe easier for Netscape to add office
products than MS to make it's office connect. The issue of the
on-line services is not important. You build the programs and
THEY will come.
HTM has links to anywhere, and is a file management system. Some
of the managers used in the Internet suites ( recommended for
testing on the newbie.htm page with auto pilots ) have some of
this capacity. The full integration of data, text, references, e-
mail, could make Netscape THE new office product and replace MS
and WP. (along with full integration of FTP (file transfer),
chat, conference, I-phone, CuSeeMe, sound, radio, and other
enhancements).
The REAL COMMUNICATIONS revolution is the smooth exchange from
Office Suites to the Internet. Windows 95 is shipping 5 million
units a month on new machines, and 1/2 million as upgrades. 60
million units a year on a base of ?? 300 million or 20% new and
replacement units ( where do all the old machines go ?) Only 10%
of these 300 million (World wide) units have Internet connections
- or 30 million. (Many stations have multiple users, like the 1
million students on line). By the end of next year (1997) maybe
400 million units with 20% Internet connections = 80 million
Internet users and by - 1998 500 million units with 30% connected
makes 150 million people on the web. In 1999-2000 the market
reaches maturity at 600 - a billion units with 35 to 50 %
connections ( using cable, wireless, high bandwidth systems) or
from 200 million to 1/2 billion users world wide --
In any new technology the social and economic impact and uses can
not be predicted in advance. IBM in the 1970 saw only a small
market for PC, and thought the copy machine only replaced carbon
copies. The full scale of uses have not been invented yet. The
system creates it's own SYNERGY and open market unlike anything
that has happened before.
SYNERGY-NET on http://metro.turnpike.net/~pflaump
** Peter E. Pflaum Ph.D. , Headmaster GLOBAL_VILLAGE_SCHOOLHOUSE
225 Robinson Road, New Smyrna Beach, FL 32169-2176 (904) 428-9609
pflaump@MSN.com pflaump@interserv.com
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SYNERGY-NET on http://emporium.turnpike.net/~pflaump or
http://metro.turnpike.net/~pflaum pflaume@n-jcenter.com
** Peter E. Pflaum Ph.D. , Headmaster GLOBAL_VILLAGE_SCHOOLHOUSE
225 Robinson Road, New Smyrna Beach, FL 32169-2176 (904) 428-9609
pflaump@interserv.com
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