Re: New list member

Arthur Chandler (arthurc@SFSU.EDU)
Mon, 11 Mar 1996 12:28:31 -0800

I'm skeptical about the ability to forecast 25 years into the future.
Did the pundits of 1970 come anywhere close to picturing the world of
1995? Or the experts of 1945 to predicting the world of 1970? Not from
what I've read (Marshall McLuhan seems to have the best batting average).
The best we can do, it seems to me, is to find whatever verities there are
about human behavior and watch how they emerge in new contexts. Some
threads:

"The natural flights of the human mind are not from pleasure to pleasure,
but from hope to hope." -- Samuel Johnson. Explains a lot about politics,
consumerism, and romance :<)

"Money is coined liberty." Dostoyevsky. Better than Das Kapital, and
somewhat shorter.

"Success is an ugly thing. Men are deceived by its false resemblances
to merit. To the crowd, success wears almost the features of true
mastery, and the greatest dupe of this counterfeit talent is
History." -- Victor Hugo. Words to recall again and again in a
post-Calvinist nation where material success is seen as a sign of a state
of Grace.